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It boils down to housing affordability; mortgage rates have risen, but they're still historically very low, ... We're continuing to see people who had been sitting on the fence jumping in to take advantage of these low rates before they go back up. - Sung Sohn Quotes

It boils down to housing affordability; mortgage rates have risen, but they're still historically very low, ... We're continuing to see people who had been sitting on the fence jumping in to take advantage of these low rates before they go back up.

If prices remain where they are, and the rest of the economy performs well, that won't be the end of the world, - Sung Sohn Quotes

If prices remain where they are, and the rest of the economy performs well, that won't be the end of the world,

I don't think businesses will hire more people in anticipation of higher demand. They want to see demand first. They feel they have the flexibility to increase production without hiring people. - Sung Sohn Quotes

I don't think businesses will hire more people in anticipation of higher demand. They want to see demand first. They feel they have the flexibility to increase production without hiring people.

If oil goes to $50 a barrel, I think we're talking about 3 percent economic growth, rather than 4 percent growth, possibly. And the jobless rate could actually go up, not down, because the long-term potential economic growth rate is actually 3.5 percent -- we could actually be falling below potential. - Sung Sohn Quotes

If oil goes to $50 a barrel, I think we're talking about 3 percent economic growth, rather than 4 percent growth, possibly. And the jobless rate could actually go up, not down, because the long-term potential economic growth rate is actually 3.5 percent -- we could actually be falling below potential.

If there were a bubble in California and if it were to burst, that would be a national economic catastrophe. - Sung Sohn Quotes

If there were a bubble in California and if it were to burst, that would be a national economic catastrophe.

Inflation is not an issue right now. However, it could be in the future. The Fed will begin to worry about inflation because monetary policy affects the inflation rate with a lag of as much as 18 months to two years, so they need to worry about it now. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Inflation is not an issue right now. However, it could be in the future. The Fed will begin to worry about inflation because monetary policy affects the inflation rate with a lag of as much as 18 months to two years, so they need to worry about it now.

Consumers are not on a spending spree, but they continue to spend, - Sung Sohn Quotes

Consumers are not on a spending spree, but they continue to spend,

Argentina is not a potential nightmare. It's a relatively small economy compared to Mexico and Brazil. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Argentina is not a potential nightmare. It's a relatively small economy compared to Mexico and Brazil.

Argentina is not a potential nightmare. It's a relatively small economy compared to Mexico and Brazil. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Argentina is not a potential nightmare. It's a relatively small economy compared to Mexico and Brazil.

The deflation concerns give ammunition to the president's tax cut, - Sung Sohn Quotes

The deflation concerns give ammunition to the president's tax cut,

Manufacturing could be a key driver of economic growth in the future, as opposed to being a big drag as we've seen in the past, ... Even employment, which has been weak, should be coming around as demand continues to pick up steam. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Manufacturing could be a key driver of economic growth in the future, as opposed to being a big drag as we've seen in the past, ... Even employment, which has been weak, should be coming around as demand continues to pick up steam.

This report is a slow boat to China, reflecting continuing business caution about hiring people. Facing unprecedented competition from both domestic and foreign sources, businesses are still focused on productivity gains with as few employees as possible. - Sung Sohn Quotes

This report is a slow boat to China, reflecting continuing business caution about hiring people. Facing unprecedented competition from both domestic and foreign sources, businesses are still focused on productivity gains with as few employees as possible.

This economic indicator continues the string of statistical signs supporting the current Federal Reserve stance, ... The recovery seems to continue, but it is still too weak to generate sufficient payroll growth for inflationary pressure. - Sung Sohn Quotes

This economic indicator continues the string of statistical signs supporting the current Federal Reserve stance, ... The recovery seems to continue, but it is still too weak to generate sufficient payroll growth for inflationary pressure.

Both consumer and business confidence is depressed because of uncertainty surrounding the war, ... If we can somehow bring closure to the war situation, I would expect confidence to improve dramatically, taking with it the economy and the stock market. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Both consumer and business confidence is depressed because of uncertainty surrounding the war, ... If we can somehow bring closure to the war situation, I would expect confidence to improve dramatically, taking with it the economy and the stock market.

This was a temporary pause, which has already been reversed in the month of September, - Sung Sohn Quotes

This was a temporary pause, which has already been reversed in the month of September,

This scenario is highly unlikely, but can't be ruled out. The best outcome is a gradual and orderly fall in the value of the dollar improving the trade balance; this is in fact what has been happening. - Sung Sohn Quotes

This scenario is highly unlikely, but can't be ruled out. The best outcome is a gradual and orderly fall in the value of the dollar improving the trade balance; this is in fact what has been happening.

That's one of the reasons why consumers are not going on a spending spree, though they're keeping the economic ship afloat. When higher unemployment numbers come out, that will probably rattle consumer confidence a bit. - Sung Sohn Quotes

That's one of the reasons why consumers are not going on a spending spree, though they're keeping the economic ship afloat. When higher unemployment numbers come out, that will probably rattle consumer confidence a bit.

The jobless rate is the best indicator of monetary policy, ... The Fed keeps cutting rates as long as the jobless rate goes up. This time around is really no exception. - Sung Sohn Quotes

The jobless rate is the best indicator of monetary policy, ... The Fed keeps cutting rates as long as the jobless rate goes up. This time around is really no exception.

There's so much liquidity in the economy right now that, left alone, it could become fuel for inflation, ... I can see the Fed taking preventive measures to ensure inflation doesn't become a problem. - Sung Sohn Quotes

There's so much liquidity in the economy right now that, left alone, it could become fuel for inflation, ... I can see the Fed taking preventive measures to ensure inflation doesn't become a problem.

[Michigan's] sample size is smaller, so it's more volatile than Conference Board numbers, ... I would view this more as a period of digesting all the spending they've done rather than a really significant setback in consumer spending. - Sung Sohn Quotes

[Michigan's] sample size is smaller, so it's more volatile than Conference Board numbers, ... I would view this more as a period of digesting all the spending they've done rather than a really significant setback in consumer spending.

The expectation is that the NAPM numbers should continue to improve and that the manufacturing recession is hopefully going away. - Sung Sohn Quotes

The expectation is that the NAPM numbers should continue to improve and that the manufacturing recession is hopefully going away.

We're going to get an economic boost from not only production, but from inventory buildup during the current quarter, and probably for the balance of this year. - Sung Sohn Quotes

We're going to get an economic boost from not only production, but from inventory buildup during the current quarter, and probably for the balance of this year.

The problem is the bottleneck. The industry simply is not able to process the applications fast enough. They (homeowners) are trying to refinance...But the increase in demand will simply increase the waiting list. - Sung Sohn Quotes

The problem is the bottleneck. The industry simply is not able to process the applications fast enough. They (homeowners) are trying to refinance...But the increase in demand will simply increase the waiting list.

But give people more information, and we can incorporate it into our thinking process. We can attach and assign probabilities and then more or less go on with our normal lives. I think that's exactly what's unfolding. - Sung Sohn Quotes

But give people more information, and we can incorporate it into our thinking process. We can attach and assign probabilities and then more or less go on with our normal lives. I think that's exactly what's unfolding.

It clearly tells us that consumers have and will continue to sustain and support economic growth, ... Consumers have really been the backbone of current economic growth and will continue to be a stabilizer for the balance of this year. - Sung Sohn Quotes

It clearly tells us that consumers have and will continue to sustain and support economic growth, ... Consumers have really been the backbone of current economic growth and will continue to be a stabilizer for the balance of this year.

And now that the economy is improving, people have greater confidence to make purchases and build homes. - Sung Sohn Quotes

And now that the economy is improving, people have greater confidence to make purchases and build homes.

Foreign investors are becoming a bit more gun shy about buying U.S. assets. Until the dollar settles down, we are going to be looking at volatility in the foreign exchange markets. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Foreign investors are becoming a bit more gun shy about buying U.S. assets. Until the dollar settles down, we are going to be looking at volatility in the foreign exchange markets.

More and more jobs, both manufacturing and service jobs are sent overseas; these jobs won't come back any time soon. - Sung Sohn Quotes

More and more jobs, both manufacturing and service jobs are sent overseas; these jobs won't come back any time soon.

Jobs

I've spent the past couple of days in Washington, talking to people at the Federal Reserve and the [White House] Council of Economic Advisers, and this issue came up, ... The consensus seems to be that an unemployment rate representing full employment is somewhere between 5 and 5.5 percent. - Sung Sohn Quotes

I've spent the past couple of days in Washington, talking to people at the Federal Reserve and the [White House] Council of Economic Advisers, and this issue came up, ... The consensus seems to be that an unemployment rate representing full employment is somewhere between 5 and 5.5 percent.

Past

Historically, economic and political crises have been buying opportunities. Looking at 17 crises, ranging from President Wilson's nervous breakdown to the Gulf War, the stock market setback generally has been a short-term matter lasting no more than a few months. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Historically, economic and political crises have been buying opportunities. Looking at 17 crises, ranging from President Wilson's nervous breakdown to the Gulf War, the stock market setback generally has been a short-term matter lasting no more than a few months.

In the summertime, we have a lot of plant shutdowns, especially in the auto industry. Despite that, we saw a drop in initial claims, ... That's indicating that the employment market has not only stabilized, but has begun to improve slightly. - Sung Sohn Quotes

In the summertime, we have a lot of plant shutdowns, especially in the auto industry. Despite that, we saw a drop in initial claims, ... That's indicating that the employment market has not only stabilized, but has begun to improve slightly.

We knew the data collected after the attack was going to be weak, but I was a little dumbfounded by the fact that the numbers even before the attack were awfully weak, ... Even before the attack, the economy seems to have relapsed into the doldrums. - Sung Sohn Quotes

We knew the data collected after the attack was going to be weak, but I was a little dumbfounded by the fact that the numbers even before the attack were awfully weak, ... Even before the attack, the economy seems to have relapsed into the doldrums.

The problem is that the stock market tends to predict downturns or upturns too early. The common joke is that the stock market predicted 11 out of the last nine recessions. - Sung Sohn Quotes

The problem is that the stock market tends to predict downturns or upturns too early. The common joke is that the stock market predicted 11 out of the last nine recessions.

The problem is that the stock market tends to predict downturns or upturns too early. The common joke is that the stock market predicted 11 out of the last 9 recessions. - Sung Sohn Quotes

The problem is that the stock market tends to predict downturns or upturns too early. The common joke is that the stock market predicted 11 out of the last 9 recessions.

If it weren't for the terror attacks, we would have avoided a recession, and [Fed] Chairman Greenspan would have been credited for another soft landing. Given the information the Fed had in 1999 and 2000, they did the right things. - Sung Sohn Quotes

If it weren't for the terror attacks, we would have avoided a recession, and [Fed] Chairman Greenspan would have been credited for another soft landing. Given the information the Fed had in 1999 and 2000, they did the right things.

We've been able to have our cake and eat it too -- satisfy our demand for goods and services and at lower prices, - Sung Sohn Quotes

We've been able to have our cake and eat it too -- satisfy our demand for goods and services and at lower prices,

Businesses are going to be waiting and seeing. The most important factor is how consumers behave, ... The cost of capital is important, but in the final analysis, you've got to sell products. If you're not going to sell products, you're not going to need capacity. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Businesses are going to be waiting and seeing. The most important factor is how consumers behave, ... The cost of capital is important, but in the final analysis, you've got to sell products. If you're not going to sell products, you're not going to need capacity.

We have probably hit the bottom in inventory liquidation, and hopefully we are actually now rebuilding inventory, - Sung Sohn Quotes

We have probably hit the bottom in inventory liquidation, and hopefully we are actually now rebuilding inventory,

Even with significant employment gains, the central bank wants to see more inflation and pricing power. The fall election is another hurdle. No hike in the interest rate is likely in 2004. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Even with significant employment gains, the central bank wants to see more inflation and pricing power. The fall election is another hurdle. No hike in the interest rate is likely in 2004.

The loss of confidence in the financial reporting of Corporate America could hurt both consumer and business spending, ... The reduced availability and higher cost of credit, as well as the desire to strengthen the balance sheet, could cause firms to postpone capital spending plans and accelerate layoffs. - Sung Sohn Quotes

The loss of confidence in the financial reporting of Corporate America could hurt both consumer and business spending, ... The reduced availability and higher cost of credit, as well as the desire to strengthen the balance sheet, could cause firms to postpone capital spending plans and accelerate layoffs.

The stock market will remain depressed until layoffs stabilize and the resolution of the war on terrorism becomes clearer, - Sung Sohn Quotes

The stock market will remain depressed until layoffs stabilize and the resolution of the war on terrorism becomes clearer,

If you want to really help the economy right away, the fastest way to do that is to have the government spend the money itself, ... The next step would be to give tax cuts to low- and middle-income people, who are more likely to spend the money. - Sung Sohn Quotes

If you want to really help the economy right away, the fastest way to do that is to have the government spend the money itself, ... The next step would be to give tax cuts to low- and middle-income people, who are more likely to spend the money.

This summer's energy shock will cascade through the economy. A brutal winter heating season can't be ruled out. Detroit is losing steam, - Sung Sohn Quotes

This summer's energy shock will cascade through the economy. A brutal winter heating season can't be ruled out. Detroit is losing steam,

It is unclear how much financial infrastructure has been damaged, ... At least temporarily, the financial system could be frozen, further damaging the economy. - Sung Sohn Quotes

It is unclear how much financial infrastructure has been damaged, ... At least temporarily, the financial system could be frozen, further damaging the economy.

If this gets out of control all of Latin America could suffer. When Brazil sneezes, the rest of Latin America catches a cold. - Sung Sohn Quotes

If this gets out of control all of Latin America could suffer. When Brazil sneezes, the rest of Latin America catches a cold.

Washington will pump massive amounts of aid into the Katrina-affected areas boosting economic activities. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Washington will pump massive amounts of aid into the Katrina-affected areas boosting economic activities.

Consumer demand has been tapped out, so we won't see a major thrust there, ... We're really counting on this replacement demand, especially in the high-tech area. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Consumer demand has been tapped out, so we won't see a major thrust there, ... We're really counting on this replacement demand, especially in the high-tech area.

It's going to be very close to zero. - Sung Sohn Quotes

It's going to be very close to zero.

Unless the labor market gains some steam and momentum, both real income and confidence of consumers would be hurt. - Sung Sohn Quotes

Unless the labor market gains some steam and momentum, both real income and confidence of consumers would be hurt.

I think the aggressive expectations of the market are not going to be met. - Sung Sohn Quotes

I think the aggressive expectations of the market are not going to be met.

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